Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Aug 2024

Tepatitlán de Morelos
0-0 HT 0-0
Tlaxcala
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tepatitlán de Morelos v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.39/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.27
-6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards –

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tlaxcala
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
14.10.2023 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
15.04.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
21.09.2022 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
26.01.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
23.09.2021 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos and Tlaxcala fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.67 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, draw 30%, Tlaxcala 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5
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