Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
2.11/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.60
+39% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.04.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.02.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
01.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
24.08.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
05.02.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg cruised past Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Leones Negros Udeg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.50 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 40%, draw 27%, Mineros de Zacatecas 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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