Atlante 2-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.64/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.42
-2% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
443 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
26.04.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
26.01.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
04.12.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.12.2023 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
27.10.2023 Atlante Atlante 0-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.02.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante squeezed past Cancun FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atlante and 1.17 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Cancun FC?

Atlante 2-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atlante 54%, draw 21%, Cancun FC 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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