Celaya vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celaya v Venados — Team-Based Signals
Celaya vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-1
Venados
MEK2
3-2
HT 2-1
Celaya
MEK2
Celaya cruised past Venados 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celaya and 1.83 for Venados.
What was the final score of Celaya vs Venados?
Celaya 4-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celaya vs Venados?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Celaya 49%, draw 31%, Venados 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.