Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.71/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
+4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.01.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
10.11.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
07.11.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 1-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
11.08.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
29.04.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
26.04.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
2-0
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas beat Leones Negros Udeg 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mineros de Zacatecas had 54% of the ball to Leones Negros Udeg's 46%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 51%, draw 22%, Leones Negros Udeg 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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