Alverca 1-4 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 22 Mar 2026

Alverca
1-4 HT 0-1
Sporting CP
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Alverca vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.15
Away Pick
67%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.33
Over
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
26%
4.58
2-3
41%
1.89
4-5
23%
2.73
6+
10%
7.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.58 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
15.85
1/2
7%
21.4
1/X
6%
24.35
X/1
5%
18.55
X/2
25%
3.75
X/X
10%
7.93
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
35%
1.48
2/X
5%
21.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Alverca v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP The Market 78%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.22/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.67
-58% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
16.5 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Alverca vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.32 xG 1.99
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
311 Passes 562
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
8 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
31.10.2025 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POR
28.10.2025 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-1 HT 2-0 Alverca Alverca PORLC
17.10.2019 Alverca Alverca 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK
15.03.2004 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR
26.10.2003 Alverca Alverca 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
26.01.2002 Alverca Alverca 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Alverca 1-4 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
1-4
AWAY Sporting CP
0.84 xG 1.46
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 1
231 Passes 637
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Alverca vs Sporting CP
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Alverca 4-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Alverca had 31% of the ball to Sporting CP's 69%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.84 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alverca and 2.33 for Sporting CP.

Alverca vs Sporting CP Result & Final Score

Alverca 1-4 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alverca vs Sporting CP Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Alverca 12%, draw 21%, Sporting CP 67%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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