Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities
Estoril v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Estoril 1-2 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Ave nicked a narrow win over Estoril 2-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Estoril at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. At 1.71 (~58%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Estoril's favour, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.40 to 1.89.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Estoril against 1.00 for Rio Ave.
Estoril vs Rio Ave Result & Final Score
Estoril 1-2 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Estoril 52%, draw 26%, Rio Ave 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril), Under 2.5 went the other way.