Rio Ave vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rio Ave v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Rio Ave vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
2-2
HT 1-0
Rio Ave
POR
1-2
HT 0-2
Estoril
POK
2-0
HT 2-0
Estoril
POR
Rio Ave 2-2 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Ave and Estoril shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rio Ave had 56% of the ball to Estoril's 44%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.50 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rio Ave and 1.17 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Estoril?
Rio Ave 2-2 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 44%, draw 29%, Estoril 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.