Moreirense 0-0 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.61
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
8%
5.41
X/2
13%
5.27
X/X
13%
3.46
2/1
13%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.06
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.25
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.3 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Famalicao
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
21.08.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
13.02.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 5-0 HT 4-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.09.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
19.05.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
05.02.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 0-2 HT 0-2 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
0-0
AWAY Famalicao
0.63 xG 0.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
263 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 5
12 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense and Famalicao fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Moreirense had 42% of the ball to Famalicao's 58%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.63 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Famalicao?

Moreirense 0-0 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 37%, draw 29%, Famalicao 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moreirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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