Santa Clara vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara 1-0 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara squeezed past Estrela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Santa Clara had 43% of the ball to Estrela's 57%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Estrela?
Santa Clara 1-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 46%, draw 28%, Estrela 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.