Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Porto
POR
3-0
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Porto swept aside Vitoria Guimaraes 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 47% of the ball to Porto's 53%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.23 to 1.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.83 for Porto.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto?
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto?
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 32%, draw 24%, Porto 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.