Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Porto
POR
3-0
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
2-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Porto 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes squeezed past Porto 2-1 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Porto at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Porto had 71% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 29%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.17 to 0.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Porto.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Porto and 0.33 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Porto 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Porto 55%, draw 27%, Vitoria Guimaraes 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.