Chaves 2-3 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Chaves
2-3 HT 1-0
Portimonense
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chaves vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.69
X/2
11%
6.52
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.9
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.46/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.31
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.2 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Chaves vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Portimonense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
276 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 2-0 Chaves Chaves POR
11.03.2023 Chaves Chaves 2-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
16.09.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
29.01.2019 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR
18.08.2018 Chaves Chaves 2-0 HT 2-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
22.04.2018 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR

Chaves 2-3 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
2-3
AWAY Portimonense
1.33 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense edged past Chaves 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Portimonense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chaves had 43% of the ball to Portimonense's 57%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaves and 0.67 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Portimonense?

Chaves 2-3 Portimonense in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chaves 40%, draw 30%, Portimonense 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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