Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Porto
POR
3-0
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
Porto 3-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Porto got the better of Vitoria Guimaraes 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Porto had 53% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 47%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.15 to 2.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Porto and 0.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Porto 3-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Porto 53%, draw 22%, Vitoria Guimaraes 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.