Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.03
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.55
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.85
X/2
9%
5.78
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
13%
4.55
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +18%
1.39/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.23
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.2 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Famalicao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
13.02.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 5-0 HT 4-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.09.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
19.05.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
05.02.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 0-2 HT 0-2 Moreirense Moreirense POR
04.02.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 0-2 HT 0-2 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
1-0
AWAY Famalicao
1.26 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
283 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Moreirense vs Famalicao
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Moreirense edged past Famalicao 1-0 in the Portugal - Premier League on 28 Jan 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Moreirense had 42% of the ball to Famalicao's 58%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.91.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Famalicao?

Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 42%, draw 30%, Famalicao 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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