Boavista vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boavista v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Boavista vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-3
Boavista
POR
4-2
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Boavista
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Portimonense
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
PORLC
Boavista 1-4 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense cruised past Boavista 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Boavista at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boavista had 68% of the ball to Portimonense's 32%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.20 to 0.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Boavista.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Boavista and 0.83 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Boavista vs Portimonense?
Boavista 1-4 Portimonense in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boavista vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boavista win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boavista 49%, draw 27%, Portimonense 24%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.