Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
2-2
HT 1-0
Rio Ave
POR
1-2
HT 0-2
Estoril
POK
Estoril 2-1 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril squeezed past Rio Ave 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Estoril as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Estoril had 51% of the ball to Rio Ave's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.27 to 1.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estoril and 1.33 for Rio Ave.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Estoril 2-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estoril 43%, draw 28%, Rio Ave 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.