Benfica 3-0 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.4
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.27
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
31.0
X/1
21%
3.7
X/2
4%
33.0
X/X
9%
10.5
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
5%
30.5
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
81%
-12.7pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.6pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.75/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.36
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
22.9 Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Boavista
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.37 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
437 Passes 265
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2024 Boavista Boavista 0-3 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
19.01.2024 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
14.08.2023 Boavista Boavista 3-2 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
21.02.2023 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
27.08.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
18.02.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
3-0
AWAY Boavista
5.49 xG 0.17
73% Ball Possession 27%
30 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
553 Passes 163
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
45 Box Touches 2
32 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica ran out comfortable winners over Boavista 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Benfica had 73% of the ball to Boavista's 27%, shots finished 30-6, expected goals 5.49 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Benfica and 1.00 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Boavista?

Benfica 3-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Benfica 68%, draw 19%, Boavista 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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