Boavista 0-3 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

Boavista
0-3 HT 0-2
Benfica
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Boavista vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
9.57
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
48%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.41
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.41 — our 26% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
19.25
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
6%
27.0
X/1
8%
25.5
X/2
13%
3.39
X/X
8%
9.39
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.38
2/X
10%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
8%
+20.9pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.7pp
48%
Away Win
77%
-28.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 81%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
0.92/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.84
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 491 · 85%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
15.2 Crosses 20.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Boavista vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Benfica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 2.31
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
266 Passes 441
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.01.2024 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
14.08.2023 Boavista Boavista 3-2 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
21.02.2023 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
27.08.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
18.02.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
25.01.2022 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista PORLC

Boavista 0-3 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
0-3
AWAY Benfica
0.33 xG 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
219 Passes 525
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica swept aside Boavista 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Boavista had 33% of the ball to Benfica's 67%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.33 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boavista and 2.17 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Benfica?

Boavista 0-3 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Boavista 28%, draw 24%, Benfica 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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