İstanbulspor 0-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.07
Over
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -31%
1.43/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.04
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.3 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.33 xG 4.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
302 Passes 285
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 5-0 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
0-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.75 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
347 Passes 397
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK nicked a narrow win over İstanbulspor 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 49% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 51%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.75 to 1.02.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK?

İstanbulspor 0-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 30%, draw 28%, Bodrum FK 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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