Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esenler Erokspor v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals
Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-1
Esenler Erokspor
TÜK
Esenler Erokspor 0-2 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics
Erzurumspor FK saw off Esenler Erokspor 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Esenler Erokspor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 65% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 35%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.33 to 0.74 — on chances, Esenler Erokspor could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 2.50 for Erzurumspor FK.
What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Esenler Erokspor 0-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 49%, draw 23%, Erzurumspor FK 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.