Esenler Erokspor 1-2 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.4
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
10%
5.77
X/2
13%
5.19
X/X
12%
3.81
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.74
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.34/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
+34% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
24.7 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.67 xG 1.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
203 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
16.12.2020 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 5-1 HT 3-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-2
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
2.78 xG 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
366 Passes 163
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK edged past Esenler Erokspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Erzurumspor FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 65% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 35%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.78 to 0.67 — on chances, Esenler Erokspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 3.50 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Esenler Erokspor 1-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 34%, draw 28%, Erzurumspor FK 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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