Iğdır FK 3-0 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

Iğdır FK
3-0 HT 1-0
Keçiörengücü
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Iğdır FK vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.9
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2
9%
6.97
X/X
12%
4.38
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
9%
5.4
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Iğdır FK v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 31%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +26%
0.97/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.37
-59% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.5 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Iğdır FK vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iğdır FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 0.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
357 Passes 196
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 2-0 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L

Iğdır FK 3-0 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
3-0
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.99 xG 1.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK swept aside Keçiörengücü 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 50% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 50%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.99 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Iğdır FK 3-0 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 44%, draw 28%, Keçiörengücü 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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