Keçiörengücü 2-0 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.84
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.35
X/1
18%
5.44
X/2
16%
5.41
X/X
7%
4.23
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.82
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 1/X at 13.35 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.18/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.39
+9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
17.6 Crosses 5.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
2-0
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.76 xG 0.91
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
196 Passes 357
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü got the better of Iğdır FK 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Keçiörengücü made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 38% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 62%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.76 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?

Keçiörengücü 2-0 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 38%, draw 27%, Iğdır FK 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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