Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.94
2-3
44%
1.76
4-5
18%
3.83
6+
8%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.11
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.96
X/2
14%
6.81
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.06
2/X
11%
13.85
Value flag · 2/X at 13.85 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.28/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.09
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.3 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
250 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
20.09.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
16.12.2020 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 5-1 HT 3-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-1
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
0.60 xG 0.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
294 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK and Esenler Erokspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 46% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 54%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.60 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 0.67 for Esenler Erokspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 36%, draw 32%, Esenler Erokspor 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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