Pendikspor 3-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.15
Over
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.03
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
25%
3.01
6+
8%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.61
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.35
X/1
18%
3.84
X/2
10%
16.6
X/X
7%
6.92
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
7%
14.5
2/X
4%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Pendikspor win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.3pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.14/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.03
+11% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
460 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 64%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.3 Crosses 12.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.34 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
236 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
22.11.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-2 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
14.02.2016 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-0 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
04.10.2015 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
15.11.2014 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
3-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
2.98 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
284 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor cruised past Ümraniyespor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pendikspor as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pendikspor had 50% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 50%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.98 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Pendikspor and 1.20 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Pendikspor 3-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 62%, draw 18%, Ümraniyespor 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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