Çorum FK 3-1 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.9
Over
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
37%
3.32
2-3
35%
1.79
4-5
18%
3.46
6+
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 37% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.63
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
21%
4.63
X/2
8%
7.81
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
16%
5.9
2/X
4%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.60/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.43
+35% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
20.9 Crosses 10.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.60 xG 0.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2025 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
04.10.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
3-1
AWAY Iğdır FK
2.08 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
306 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK got the better of Iğdır FK 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çorum FK had 48% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 52%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Iğdır FK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Çorum FK and 0.50 for Iğdır FK.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Iğdır FK?

Çorum FK 3-1 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 43%, draw 26%, Iğdır FK 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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