Ümraniyespor 0-0 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
7%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 34% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.48
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
10%
5.24
X/2
10%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.26
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.1pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.03
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.9 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.37 xG 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 225
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.11.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-2 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
14.02.2016 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-0 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
04.10.2015 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
15.11.2014 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
0-0
AWAY Pendikspor
0.79 xG 0.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor and Pendikspor played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 54% of the ball to Pendikspor's 46%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.79 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ümraniyespor and 0.75 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor?

Ümraniyespor 0-0 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 38%, draw 29%, Pendikspor 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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