Bandırmaspor 2-2 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
5.0
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
10%
6.44
X/2
9%
4.95
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.33
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.25/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.04
+11% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.2 Crosses 19.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
308 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-2 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
28.04.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
09.12.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.04.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
21.11.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
2-2
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.59 xG 2.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
308 Passes 218
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor and Kocaelispor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 56% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 44%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.59 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bandırmaspor and 2.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Bandırmaspor 2-2 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 39%, draw 27%, Kocaelispor 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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