Kocaelispor 2-2 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.69
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
18%
4.2
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
7.77
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
11%
6.37
2/X
8%
15.15
Value flag · X/2 at 7.77 — our 16% vs market 9.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +4%
1.55/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.55
+11% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.6 Crosses 13.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.29 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
278 Passes 334
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
28.04.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
09.12.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.04.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
21.11.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
2-2
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.98 xG 0.90
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
457 Passes 202
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor and Bandırmaspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 65% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 35%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.98 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.75 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Bandırmaspor?

Kocaelispor 2-2 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 40%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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