Adanaspor 1-1 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 32% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.16
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
10%
6.92
X/2
14%
4.62
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.92
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.06/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.93
-9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.9 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.71 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
232 Passes 381
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
21.10.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
16.10.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-2 HT 1-2 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
24.11.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TÜK
11.03.2012 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-3 HT 1-3 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
23.10.2011 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-1
AWAY Sakaryaspor
2.30 xG 1.66
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
406 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor and Sakaryaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Adanaspor had 57% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 43%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.30 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adanaspor and 1.83 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Adanaspor 1-1 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 30%, draw 30%, Sakaryaspor 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sakaryaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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