Esenler Erokspor 2-2 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.03
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
29.5
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
8%
5.66
X/2
7%
5.25
X/X
11%
4.5
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
23%
3.62
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 40%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.74/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.25
+19% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.4 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor S2-B
19.10.2022 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
15.10.2022 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
2-2
AWAY Çorum FK
1.04 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
452 Passes 284
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Çorum FK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 60% of the ball to Çorum FK's 40%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.04 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 0.67 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK?

Esenler Erokspor 2-2 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 34%, draw 26%, Çorum FK 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Çorum FK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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