Erzurumspor FK vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzurumspor FK v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Erzurumspor FK vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
5-1
HT 3-0
Erzurumspor FK
TSL
1-3
HT 1-0
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
0-1
HT 0-0
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
Erzurumspor FK 1-3 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük beat Erzurumspor FK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 59% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 41%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.78 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 2.50 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Erzurumspor FK 1-3 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 42%, draw 31%, Fatih Karagümrük 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.