Kocaelispor 3-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
14.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.96
X/2
11%
6.32
X/X
11%
4.56
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.45
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.47
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.0 Crosses 14.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.29 xG 1.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
261 Passes 381
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
09.12.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.04.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
21.11.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
3-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
327 Passes 195
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor got the better of Bandırmaspor 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Kocaelispor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 60% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 40%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.67 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Bandırmaspor?

Kocaelispor 3-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 40%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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