Adanaspor 1-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

Adanaspor
1-1 HT 1-1
Manisa FK
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Adanaspor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 33% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.07
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
15%
6.89
X/2
10%
4.63
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.89
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adanaspor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.11/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.86
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.7 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Adanaspor vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 1.13
42% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
246 Passes 381
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
02.10.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 3-2 HT 2-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
06.03.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
17.10.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-3 HT 0-2 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L

Adanaspor 1-1 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-1
AWAY Manisa FK
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
237 Passes 276
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor and Manisa FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (31% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Adanaspor had 47% of the ball to Manisa FK's 53%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Adanaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adanaspor and 1.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Manisa FK?

Adanaspor 1-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 31%, draw 28%, Manisa FK 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manisa FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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