Erzurumspor FK 2-1 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.8
Over 2.5
35%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 39% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.56
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.23
X/2
12%
4.75
X/X
15%
4.58
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.13
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.0pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 46%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.01/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.02
-48% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +125%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
20.6 Crosses 7.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.34 xG 3.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
267 Passes 357
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 4-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2-1
AWAY Çorum FK
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
189 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK edged past Çorum FK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Erzurumspor FK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 42% of the ball to Çorum FK's 58%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Erzurumspor FK 2-1 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 37%, draw 29%, Çorum FK 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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