Göztepe 2-0 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
10%
5.73
2/1
13%
21.85
2/2
14%
7.96
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.61/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.36
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.3 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
418 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-3 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
05.02.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
02.09.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
11.05.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 5-3 HT 1-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
19.01.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 4-0 HT 3-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
11.07.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-3 HT 0-2 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
2-0
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
247 Passes 160
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe beat Gençlerbirliği 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Göztepe had 58% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 42%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Göztepe and 1.50 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği?

Göztepe 2-0 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 50%, draw 23%, Gençlerbirliği 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
28 Apr 2024
16:00 Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Analysis →
16:00 Tuzlaspor vs Bodrum FK Analysis →
16:00 Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor Analysis →
16:00 Adanaspor vs Manisa FK Analysis →
16:00 Kocaelispor vs Bandırmaspor Analysis →