MKE Ankaragücü 0-3 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

MKE Ankaragücü
0-3 HT 0-3
Gençlerbirliği
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

MKE Ankaragücü vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.63
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.5
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
16%
4.44
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.19
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MKE Ankaragücü v Gençlerbirliği — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.36/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.22
-4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
16.4 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

MKE Ankaragücü vs Gençlerbirliği Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.87 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
423 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
18.11.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSYD
29.07.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSYD
06.02.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-3 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
12.09.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
07.08.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSYD

MKE Ankaragücü 0-3 Gençlerbirliği — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0-3
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.98 xG 2.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
384 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği ran out comfortable winners over MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gençlerbirliği found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 57% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 43%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.98 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 0.17 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Gençlerbirliği?

MKE Ankaragücü 0-3 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 39%, draw 31%, Gençlerbirliği 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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