Thun 1-0 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 22 Apr 2024

Thun
1-0 HT 1-0
Sion
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Thun vs Sion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thun v Sion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.34/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.69
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.8 Crosses 20.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Thun vs Sion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.03.2024 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
08.12.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV2
25.09.2023 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
30.05.2021 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 2-2 Thun Thun İSVP
27.05.2021 Thun Thun 1-4 HT 0-2 Sion Sion İSVP
25.07.2020 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV

Thun 1-0 Sion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1-0
AWAY Sion
1.06 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
259 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun nicked a narrow win over Sion 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Thun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Thun had 43% of the ball to Sion's 57%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.06 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 1.83 for Sion.

What was the final score of Thun vs Sion?

Thun 1-0 Sion in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Thun 37%, draw 28%, Sion 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Under 2.5
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