Roma vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
Roma 1-3 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna saw off Roma 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Roma had 53% of the ball to Bologna's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.99 to 1.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Roma.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Roma and 0.50 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Roma vs Bologna?
Roma 1-3 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Roma 43%, draw 29%, Bologna 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.