Roma vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roma v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roma 1-3 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna had too much for Roma 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Roma had 53% of the ball to Bologna's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.99 to 1.07 — by the quality of chances, Roma deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Roma and 0.50 for Bologna.
Roma vs Bologna Result & Final Score
Roma 1 - 3 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roma vs Bologna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Roma 42%, draw 34%, Bologna 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.