Charlotte 0-3 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.1
Over Pick
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.06
2-3
38%
1.85
4-5
26%
3.08
6+
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.61
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.62
X/2
13%
7.59
X/X
13%
5.17
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
7%
5.23
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United The Market 30%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.07/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.63
-35% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
26.7 Crosses 15.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
0-3
AWAY Minnesota United
0.86 xG 1.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
349 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United cruised past Charlotte 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Charlotte had 57% of the ball to Minnesota United's 43%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.86 to 1.68.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Minnesota United?

Charlotte 0-3 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 48%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlotte), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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