Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Los Angeles Galaxy v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles Galaxy nicked a narrow win over San Jose Earthquakes 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 60% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 40%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 2.39 to 1.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.83 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 50%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.