San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles Galaxy got the better of San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Los Angeles Galaxy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 47% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 53%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.77 to 1.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.17 for Los Angeles Galaxy.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 31%, Los Angeles Galaxy 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.