PSV II 2-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Apr 2024

PSV II
2-0 HT 1-0
Utrecht II
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

PSV II vs Utrecht II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.65
2-3 Goals
39%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.51
X/2
9%
9.43
X/X
9%
6.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.15
2/2
11%
5.81
2/X
9%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.15 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV II v Utrecht II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.49/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.30
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
15.3 Crosses 17.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

PSV II vs Utrecht II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
430 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
13.03.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.11.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
14.02.2022 PSV II PSV II 0-2 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
13.09.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.03.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-6 HT 0-3 PSV II PSV II HOL2

PSV II 2-0 Utrecht II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
2-0
AWAY Utrecht II
2.33 xG 0.57
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
731 Passes 208
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
38 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II saw off Utrecht II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV II had 72% of the ball to Utrecht II's 28%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.33 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PSV II and 1.00 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Utrecht II?

PSV II 2-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split PSV II 49%, draw 26%, Utrecht II 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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