Sunderland U21 2-1 Liverpool U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
2-1
AWAY Liverpool U21
3.49 xG 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
289 Passes 518
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Liverpool U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 edged past Liverpool U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 40% of the ball to Liverpool U21's 60%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.49 to 0.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sunderland U21's control.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Sunderland U21 2-1 Liverpool U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 33%, draw 21%, Liverpool U21 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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