Orgánica Masachapa 0-5 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.42/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.52
-2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-1 HT 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
09.11.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
03.09.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
0-5
AWAY Walter Ferretti
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orgánica Masachapa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti swept aside Orgánica Masachapa 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Orgánica Masachapa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Orgánica Masachapa had 42% of the ball to Walter Ferretti's 58%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orgánica Masachapa and 1.33 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Orgánica Masachapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Orgánica Masachapa 0-5 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orgánica Masachapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orgánica Masachapa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orgánica Masachapa 46%, draw 28%, Walter Ferretti 26%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orgánica Masachapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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