Hönefoss BK 1-0 Fredrikstad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 22 Apr 2024

Hönefoss BK
1-0 HT 1-0
Fredrikstad II
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Hönefoss BK vs Fredrikstad II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
85%
-23.9pp
22%
Draw
8%
+13.5pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hönefoss BK v Fredrikstad II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.44/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.27
+2% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
455 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Fredrikstad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK nicked a narrow win over Fredrikstad II 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Fredrikstad II?

Hönefoss BK 1-0 Fredrikstad II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Fredrikstad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 61%, draw 22%, Fredrikstad II 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
22 Apr 2024
18:30 Sandviken vs Haugesund II Analysis →
19:00 Lokomotiv Oslo vs Molde II Analysis →
19:00 Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Kristiansund II Analysis →
19:30 Hodd II vs Spjelkavik Analysis →
20:00 Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 II Analysis →
20:00 Ullern vs KFUM II Analysis →