22/04/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Ullern vs KFUM II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
26%
Draw
23%
31%
Away Win
31%
46%
Under 2.5
30%
54%
Over 2.5
70%
54%
BTTS Yes
72%
46%
BTTS No
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ullern v KFUM II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ullern
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
KFUM II
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
5
334 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ullern vs KFUM II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ullern and KFUM II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Ullern at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Ullern vs KFUM II?
Ullern 2-2 KFUM II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ullern vs KFUM II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ullern 42%, draw 26%, KFUM II 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ullern) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ullern)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
22 Apr 2024