Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.1pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 33%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.39/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.05
+21% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Corners 3
08.10.2023 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
POST-MATCH Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Obolon Kyiv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Metalist 1925 Kharkiv at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon Kyiv?

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 44%, draw 28%, Obolon Kyiv 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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