Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
77%
-15.0pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.8pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +19%
2.36/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.11
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
24.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
13.11.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
15.10.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6-1 HT 3-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
28.02.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
20.09.2020 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-2 HT 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk nicked a narrow win over Zorya Luhansk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.17 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 62%, draw 21%, Zorya Luhansk 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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